| تعداد نشریات | 284 |
| تعداد نشریات سازمان | 82 |
| تعداد شماره‌ها | 3,045 |
| تعداد مقالات | 34,066 |
| تعداد مشاهده مقاله | 46,482,677 |
| تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله | 77,540,143 |
پیامد تکانه های تولید و قیمت فرآورده های منتخب غلات با و بدون سیاست جبران درآمد برای امنیت غذایی خانوارها در ایران | ||
| اقتصاد کشاورزی و توسعه | ||
| مقاله 6، دوره 30، شماره 4 - شماره پیاپی 120، اسفند 1401، صفحه 143-169 اصل مقاله (1.26 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.30490/aead.2023.357188.1409 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| الهه بنائی1؛ سید مجتبی مجاوریان* 2؛ سید علی حسینی یکانی3؛ عباس میرزایی4 | ||
| 1دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه علوم کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی ساری، ساری، ایران. | ||
| 2نویسندة مسئول و دانشیار گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه علوم کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی ساری، ساری، ایران | ||
| 3دانشیار گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه علوم کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی ساری، ساری، ایران. | ||
| 4استادیار گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه علوم کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی خوزستان، ملاثانی، ایران. | ||
| چکیده | ||
| امروزه، تغییرات سریع در اقلیم، سیاستهای تجاری و فناوری موجب بروز شوکها یا همان تکانه های تولیدی، قیمتی و درآمدی در بازار فرآورده های غلات شده است. هدف مطالعة حاضر بررسی اثرات تکانه های تولیدی، قیمتی و درآمدی بر امنیت غذایی گروه های مختلف جامعه با استفاده از مدل تعادل بازار چندگانه بود. با توجه به اهمیت فرآورده های غلات بهویژه نان، برنج و ماکارونی در سبد غذایی خانوارهای ایرانی، تکانه های تولیدی، قیمتی و درآمدی برای این گروه از مواد غذایی اعمال و اثرات آنها بر امنیت غذایی خانوارها به تفکیک گروه های درآمدی شهری و روستایی و نیز گروه های دارای مشاغل دولتی و آزاد بررسی شد. اطلاعات مورد نیاز از داده های خام هزینه و درآمد خانوارهای شهری و روستایی 1387 تا 1397 مرکز آمار ایران استخراج شد. نتایج نشان داد که امنیت غذایی جامعه بیشتر تحت تأثیر تکانه تولیدی فرآورده های غلات است، به گونه ای که با کاهش بیست درصدی تولید فرآورده های غلات، خانوارهای روستایی فقیر و متوسط، به ترتیب، با میانگین درصد تغییرات کالری 6/15- و 9/10- از حساسترین گروه ها بهشمار می روند؛ از سوی دیگر، خانوارهای فقیر دارای مشاغل دولتی، با میانگین درصد تغییرات کالری 9/7، بیشترین آسیب را از افزایش قیمت فرآوردههای غلات متحمل خواهند شد. همچنین، افزایش درآمد خانوارهای فقیر می تواند نقش مؤثری در بهبود امنیت غذایی آنها ایفا کند، در حالی که افزایش درآمد خانوارهای با سطح درآمد متوسط باعث تغییر الگوی مصرفی این خانوارها خواهد شد. از اینرو، لازم است که در راستای حفظ رفاه خانوارهای فقیر، سیاستهای حمایت قیمتی و درآمدی مناسب اتخاذ شود. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها | ||
| امنیت غذایی؛ تکانة تولیدی؛ تکانة قیمتی و درآمدی؛ غلات؛ مدل تعادل بازار چندگانه | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| Implication of Production Shocks and Prices of Selected Cereal Products with and without Income Compensation Policy for Food Security of Households in Iran | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| Elahe Banaei1؛ Seyed Mojtaba Mojaverian2؛ Seyed-Ali Hosseini-Yekani3؛ ABBAS MIRZAEI4 | ||
| 1PhD Student in Agricultural Economics, Sari Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources University, Sari, Iran. | ||
| 2Corresponding Author and Associate Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, Sari Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources University, Sari, Iran | ||
| 3Associate Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, Sari Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources University, Sari, Iran. | ||
| 4Assistant Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources University of Khuzestan, Mollasani, Iran | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| Today, rapid changes in climate, trade policies and technology have led to production, price and income shocks in the grain market. This study aimed at investigating the food security of different groups of society due to production, price and income shocks using the multiple market equilibrium model. Due to the importance of cereal products, especially bread, rice and pasta in the food basket of Iranian households, production, price and income shocks for this group of food and their effects on food security of the households by urban and rural income groups as well as government and freelance jobs were surveyed. The required information was extracted from the raw cost and income data of urban and rural households from 2008 to 2018 through the Statistics Center of Iran (SCI). The results showed that the food security of the society is mostly influenced by the production shocks of grain products, so that with a twenty percent decrease in the production of grain products, the poor and middle rural households, respectively, with an average percentage of calorie changes of -15.6 and -10.9 were among the most sensitive groups; on the other hand, poor households with government jobs would suffer the most from the increase in the price of cereal products, with an average percentage change of 7.9 calories. Also, increasing the income of poor households might play an effective role in improving their food security, while increasing the income of middle-income households would change the consumption pattern of these households. Therefore, it is necessary to adopt appropriate price and income support policies in order to maintain the welfare of poor households. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها [English] | ||
| Food Security, Production Shock, Price and Income Shock, Cereals, Multiple Market Equilibrium Model | ||
| مراجع | ||
|
Abdelhedi, I.T. and Zouari, S.Z. (2020). Agriculture and food security in North Africa: a theoretical and empirical approach. Journal of the Knowledge Economy, 11(1): 193-210. Agronic (2018). The importance of cereals in human nutrition. Available at https://agronic.ir/fa/post/1771. (Persian) Barrett, C.B. (2010). Measuring food insecurity. Science. 327(5967): 825-828. Ben Abdallah, M., Fekete-Farkas, M. and Lakner, Z. (2021). Exploring the link between food security and food price dynamics: a bibliometric analysis. Agriculture, 11(3): 263. Bielza Diaz-Caneja, M., Conte, C., Dittmann, C., Gallego Pinilla, F. and Stroblmair, J. (2008). Agricultural insurance schemes. EUR 23392 EN. Luxembourg (Luxembourg): OPOCE; 2008. JRC45927. Brinkman, M., Levin-Koopman, J., Wicke, B., Shutes, L., Kuiper, M., Faaij, A. and van der Hilst, F. (2020). The distribution of food security impacts of biofuels, a Ghana case study. Biomass and Bioenergy, 141: 105695. Demeyer, S., Ducasse, S. and Nierstrasz, O. (2002). Object-oriented reengineering patterns. Elsevier. Ebadi, F. and Saeidnia, E. (2009). Food balance of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Tehran: Agricultural Planning, Economics and Rural Development Research Institute (APERDRI). (Persian) FAO (2008). An introduction to the basic concepts of food security. Rome, Italy: Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). Available at https://www.fao.org/3/al936e/al936e00.pdf. Fathi, F. and Bakhshoodeh, M. (2021). Economic and environmental strategies against targeting energy subsidy in Iranian meat market: a game theory approach. Energy Policy, Elsevier 150: 112153. DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112153. Galtier, F.(2013). Managing food price instability: critical assessment of the dominant doctrine. Global Food Security, 2(2): 72-81. Ghahremanzadeh, M. (2016). Measuring impact of rising food price on Iranian urban households welfare. Agricultural Economics, 9(4): 97-119. (Persian) Goodarzi, M., Mortazavi, S. and Peykani, Gh. (2007). Investigating the demand of the main groups of consumer and food goods in urban areas of Iran using a two-stage budgeting model. Agricultural Economics and Development, 15(57) (Special Issue of Agricultural Markets): 159-131. (Persian) Goodwin, B.K. (1993). An empirical analysis of the demand for multiple peril crop insurance. American Journal of Agricultural Economics. 75(2): 425-434. Gouel, C. (2012). Agricultural price instability: a survey of competing explanations and remedies. Journal of Economic Surveys, 26(1): 129-156. Haggblade, S., Me-Nsope, N.M. and Staatz, J.M. (2017). Food security implications of staple food substitution in Sahelian West Africa. Food Policy, 71: 27-38. Hosseini Yekani, S.A., Nematollahi, Z. and Hosseinzadeh, M. (2017). The welfare effects of rising of domestic rice price on mazandaranian households. Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development, 31(3): 228-239. DOI: 10.22067/jead2.v31i3.62855. (Persian) IFPRI (2012). 2011 Global food policy report. Washington, D.C.: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). Available at http://dx.doi.org/10.2499/9780896295476. Ilboudo Nébié, E.K., Ba, D. and Giannini, A. (2021). Food security and climate shocks in Senegal: Who and where are the most vulnerable households? Global Food Security, 29: 100513. DOI: 10.1016/j.gfs.2021.100513. Jones, J.P.H.(2010). Effects of a traceability system on the economic impacts of a foot-and-mouth disease outbreak. A Thesis Submitted to the Faculty of Graduate Studies of The University of Manitoba. Available at https://mspace.lib.umanitoba.ca/bitstream/handle/1993/4227/Jones_Jason.pdf?sequence=1. Khosravinejad, A.A., Khodadad Kashi, F. and Sohbati, Z. (2013). An evaluation of rise in food price on welfare of urban households in Iran. Journal of Economic Strategy, 2(4): 73-94. (Persian) Laha, A. and Sinha, S. (2021). Implications of food price shocks on availability of food: evidences from the Indian economy. Millennial Asia, 12(1): 116-130. Lawlor, K., Handa, S., Seidenfeld, D. and Zambia Cash Transfer Evaluation Team (2019). Cash transfers enable households to cope with agricultural production and price shocks: evidence from Zambia. The Journal of Development Studies, 55(2): 209-226. Layani, G. and Esmaeili, A. (2016). Welfare impacts of tariff reduction of imported wood in iran: application of Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (QUAIDS). Iranian Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development Research, 47(2): 271-284. (Persian) Luo, P. and Tanaka, T. (2021). Food import dependency and national food security: a price transmission analysis for the wheat sector. Foods, 10(8): 1715. Lusk, J.L. and Anderson, J.D. (2004). Effects of country-of-origin labeling on meat producers and consumers. Western Agricultural Economics Association, Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 29(2): 1-21. Majale Salamat (2015). Table of food callories. Available at https://www.majalesalamat.com/tools/calories/2015. (Persian) McClafferty, B. (2000). Ensuring food security in Egypt: food subsidy, income generation and market reform, Cairo Egypt, 25-26 May 1999. Food Policy, 25(2): 219-224. Mojaver Hoseini, F. (2007). Eestimation of income and price elasticities for edible and non-edible products by the use of AIDS. Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development, 11(57): 199-224. (Persian) Najafi, B. and Shoushtarian, A. (2004). Targeting subsidies and eliminating food insecurity: a case study of Arsanjan. Journal of Trade Studies. 8(31): 127-151. (Persian) Nicholson, C.F., Stephens, E.C., Kopainsky, V., Thornton, P.K., Jones, A.D., Parsons, D. and Garrett, J. (2021). Food security outcomes in agricultural systems models: case examples and priority information needs. Agricultural Systems, 188: 103030. Okrent, A.M. and Alston, J.M. (2012). The effects of farm commodity and retail food policies on obesity and economic welfare in the United States. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 94(3): 611-646. Salehi, F., Abdollahi, Z. and Abdollahi, M. (2014). Optimal food basket for the Iranian society. Qom: Andisheh Mandegar Publications. (Persian) Savari, M. and Ghanian, M. (2019). Analysis of challenges and strategies for improving the food security in iranian rural households using hierarchical analysis. Village and Development, 22(3): 95-124. (Persian) SCI (2019). Population. Tehran: Statistical Center of Iran (SCI). Available at https://www.amar.org.ir. (Persian) Thome, K., Meade, B., Rosen, S. and Beghin, J.C. (2016). Assessing food security in Ethiopia with USDA ERS’s new food security modeling approach. ARE Working Papers 257823, North Carolina State University, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics. Van Campenhout, B., Pauw, K. and Minot. N. (2018). The impact of food price shocks in Uganda: first-order effects versus general-equilibrium consequences. European Review of Agricultural Economics, 45(5): 783-807. Weber, R. (2015). Welfare impacts of rising food prices: evidence from India. International Association of Agricultural Economists (IAAE), 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy.
| ||
|
آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 362 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 229 |
||